If you wanted to be more accurate to actual gold and silver, the historical exchange rate is only 20:1 silver to gold, which is why there are 20 (silver) shillings in a (gold) pound piece.

You can flip the problem around and have it be mathematically the same. The predictor has some knowable accuracy, you can run the experiment many times to determine what it is. Let’s also replace the predictor with an Oracle, guaranteed 100% always correct, and we’ll manually impose some error by doing the opposite of its prediction with some probability. This is fully indistinguishable from our original predictor.

Now, instead of the predictor making a prediction, let’s choose our box first, then decide what to put in the mystery box afterwards, with some probability of being “wrong” (not putting the money in for the 1 box taker, or putting the money in for the 2 box taker). This is identical to having an Oracle, we know exactly what boxes will be taken, but there is some error in the system.

Now we ask, should you take one box or two? Obviously it depends on what the probability is. There’s no more “fooling” the predictor. So, you do the EV calculation and find that if the probability is more than 50% accurate (in other words, if the probability of error is less than 50%), you should always take 1 box

An angle I don’t see people looking at is to reframe the problem with amounts that are much more understandable, there is one thousand times more money in the mystery box, so let’s do the following:

The Open box has 1 cent in it, and the mystery box might have $10, what do you do?

Y’all are telling me you’d rather take a penny and have a tiny Chance at $10, rather than taking $10 with a tiny Chance of getting zero?

ASMR isn’t supposed to be relaxing, some people just found it relaxing and somehow that completely bastardized the genre(also it became soft core pornography). ASMR stands for autonomous sensory meridian response, basically some people get a pleasurable tingling sensation on their head/neck/spine when they hear certain sounds, and ASMR content is supposed to stimulate that response for those people.

What I don’t get is that people encountered ASMR and unquestionly went “guess that’s what it’s called” and didn’t wonder at all what the obvious acronym stood for, literally 5 seconds to Google 4 letters and you’d understand what it’s all about.