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Cake day: July 1st, 2023

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  • I don’t deny Putin is a Russian nationalist, I just meant that he could have more profitably reached his goals with a lighter touch. Invading in 2022 hardened Ukraine’s opposition, highlighted the behavior of Russian troops in occupied Ukraine, and destroyed a lot of hardware and people.

    Before 2022, Putin could project Russian power as this weird chimera of Russia as a promised land of white patriarchy, coupled with invincible military threat. The invasion revealed Russia as both military incompetent and brutal, making resisting Russia militarily the rational choice, and simultanously sidelining Russia’s supporters. If you stand with Putin, you also stand with the people who destroyed Bucha.


  • Putin is lucky that Needy Amin’s stupid attack on Iran pushed his invasion of Ukraine down to the 2nd most idiotic military adventure so far in the 21st century.

    Look, before that, he had a decent hand. Russia was a 2nd or 3rd rate power, but no-one knew it, because the shiny armed forces were just seen on parades. He was getting a decent chunk of cash from fossil fuels, Russia was a good place to do shady business in , and he and his freidns could stash all that money in UK and US banks and send their kids to university there. Every alt-right party could count on some rubles getting sent to them.

    So he wasn’t Peter the Great, but he wasn’t some boyar losing battles with the Polish-Lithuanian commonwealth either.

    In 6 or 12 months, Zelensky would be brought down by a combination of corruption and or shitty economy, and some Russia-friendly oligarch would use Russian disinfo to get elected and tie Ukraine even closer to Russia. But he just couldn’t stand that somewhere there were Ukraine kids getting an education in Ukrainian and where the Holodomor was part of the curriculum.















  • Ngo has been playing footsie with race science since as long as I have been skimming LW.

    The irony is that in any “normal” space (i.e. not Stormfront) he would have been booted out toot sweet for being a racist. On LW, he’s tolerated, even celebrated, but apparently not enough for his liking. It’s not enough that he can spew race science unopposed by any meaningful reaction, everyone else has to take his position.

    Edit

    the piece he authored 6 months ago and references here is a doozy too

    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FuGfR3jL3sw6r8kB4/richard-ngo-s-shortform?commentId=9g5QK3Km25fMBHgcK

    one comment visible by default

    The overwhelming majority of successful civilizations throughout history have been nation-states, at least to some degree, which should be addressed in some capacity by any argument claiming that it’s a suboptimal way to organize a society.

    uh… the Roman Empire was a nation-state? Holy Roman Empire? (ok not as good an example) Ottoman Empire? Basically all of India pre-Brits?

    A huge part of the French Revolution was the codification of France as “The Nation” of French people, not as the weird personifciation of the king. But somehow I suspect that bringing up the French Republic won’t be hugely popular in this crowd.