- cross-posted to:
- memes@lemmy.ml
- cross-posted to:
- memes@lemmy.ml
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It’s because they keep securing their loans with eachother’s loans, it’s all negative numbers though
I hope not, that’s basically what 2008 was. We could at least get a new reason.
Capitalism doesn’t breed enough innovation for new reasons. That’s why they need AI, to come up with new bullshit.
The way AI works, wouldn’t they just get the old bullshit, but reworded each time? With a side of hallucinations ofc
🌍🧑🚀🔫🧑🚀
Sort of, except this time instead of it being millions of homes about to be foreclosed on its like 10 multibillion dollar companies, so the real problem is who is positioned to buy those companies when their share price crashes and they need to be sold for peanu… fuck it’s Trump isn’t it? In 2 months we’ll be using MicroTrump Werd to write reports and Tesla Xsell to build spreadsheets, but only when we can navigate our way through a minefield of vibecoded slop and ads for ICE.
Damn if only there were some sort of alternative not owned by anyone and built by the community. If I’m making impossible wishes I’d also want it to be free to use. Maybe even open source.
Nah that would never work. Who would put in that kind of effort for free? Silly idea.
Sadly my company has complete say over the platforms I use when at work. Given their scramble to adopt copilot with little or no obvious benefits and unknown depth of security flaws, I don’t hold much hope that they will pivot to an entire new platform suite on Microsoft’s collapse …
Well everyone’s index-based investments will also take a nose dive to be fair. So that’s going to be a lot of people’s retirement funds set back by several years, maybe a decade.
You jest but USGov already owns 10% of Intel, the seal’s been cracked, and it’d be a suitably fascist move.
Considering that both Intel and AMD originally grew up on government contracts, It’s a wonder that the government doesn’t own 49% of each.
Was in a company wide meeting yesterday. The cto was talking about OpenAI being too big to fail.
OpenAI is small fry compared to the other AI players. They are the least likely to get a bailout.
This is actually a moment where “Thanks Obama” applies, what a precedence to set… Should have given the relief on the demand-side, not the fucking banks.
2008 called. They want their huge bailouts back.
The big guys will be fine. Your 401(k)? Fucked.
I have a take on that. I’m going with hank green on this one. https://youtu.be/jOR4wuiPeEQ
The entire US economy is being held up by the ultra-wealthy right now. We should be in a recession, but they’re pushing all the right buttons in all the right places to keep stocks where they need to be to keep running.
The AI bubble isn’t blindly bobbing around on the top waiting to pop, it’s orchestrated. Yes, it’s a bubble. Yes the stated value there isn’t anywhere near real. But it’s not going to pop until they let it. Investors are going to stay with it as long as they’re not scared of it going away and the ultra rich are using it as a vehicle to maintain wealth and unless they somehow screw up, it’s not going anywhere until they decide to do something different.
OpenAI isn’t too big to fail, but the Industry as a whole is too well-funded and tightly controlled to let it fail, for now.
Stupid question, but since the world is currently falling over itself to make new business connections/alliances and is moving away from investing in the US economy because the clown president likes to threaten his allies, how long will the US economy last as the world slowly abandons America? Because while the movement may appear slow right now, I am actually experiencing this extreme change in the world order to be happening super fast. The effects may not be felt over night and maybe not even in ten years, but what trump has accomplished in one year, will most likely have a very negative impact on the US economy for decades and decades to come. Because we ain’t fucking coming back. That’s for sure.
Not a stupid question at all, but so far in the weeds of speculation that we couldn’t get a straight answer out of it with a 24 pack of beer, a d100, and a really good DM. But let’s ponder.
The nature of international trade and finance is screwy AF. It’s like finance for the rich, where the only money that exists is what people owe to you and what you owe to people. Noting ever changes hands, not to say that it would soften the blows but it does make the effects move more slowly than one might want.
If it were just the international fall of Apple, Microsoft, and Google, along with the standard bits and bobbles of alcohol, and whatever 100 other odd consumer products we actually still manage to produce in the states, I don’t think that’ll hurt us as much as whatever eventually happens to with AI. A single day of military production probably outstrips most of that. While it’s possible that other warmachines can ramp up to quell the hunger of everyone for world destruction and weapons for self-preservation, I suspect once the current series of aggressions, fiasco,s and administration disappear, the US war machine will still find plenty of buyers, though the menu will likely change as we’ll no longer seen as a reliable ally. Food and Oil/industrial exports will likely fluctuate, at most. I suspect they’ll be forced to sell at a discount. If tourism doesn’t recover, that’ll beat the F out of a lot of places. We might see Vegas go fallout style.
I’d love to see European alternatives for Apple, Microsoft, and Google. I’d import that in a hot second.
Honestly, If the world really wanted to see the US burn, they could just stop trade altogether. The time to restructure food, coal and oil would be enough to starve out a lot of the population, even if we’re relatively close to self sustaining, none of those channels are setup.
Imaine the calls for blood when you can’t get produce out of season and avocados become $15 each.
Not that I don’t wanna teach USA a lesson, but I feel like stopping all trade would be like shooting yourself and a bipolar bear each in the foot in an attempt to see who bleeds out first. Answer: nobody bleeds out and everybody is pissed, especially the bear.
Also, I think USA gets a lot of avocados from California farms and Mexico so those might stay cheap regardless.
Definitely displace/replace the tech giants though. Monopolies suuuuuck.
The tech bros have been disastrously wrong about the future of technology twice since Moore’s Law broke and the endless treadmill of computer upgrades stopped: about crypto and about the metaverse. They’re desperate to not be wrong again, and they think that by spending enough money they can generate a reality distortion field that actually makes overhyped AI financially feasible. So they’re going to keep pumping the money in as long as they’ve got it. But even their wallets are finite.
As someone who has regularly used virtual worlds for 20 years, the whole Metaverse thing was so hilarious.
Like, Facebook did not invent 3D online worlds, there are 3D online worlds older than Facebook.
“But wait, metaverse is not just 3D Virtual Worlds.”
Which inecitably leads to "ok, so its just “The Internet”.
As for the “Constantly being wrong.” At somepoint, these people forgot that “having an idea” does not mean “Having a useful idea.” You hear arguments about all these flash in the pan bull shit concepts like “People said the same thing about the internet or the iPhone.” Yeah, and they said the same thing about a dozen other new idea that time forgot for every Internet or every iPhone idea that took off. Not every idea is “the next big thing”. Statisrically, most ideas are “Not ever a thing.”
You have unleashed the cursed gif upon us
AI has the momentum only from investors and banks. But unfortunately, the paying customers are few and far between. Also, don’t forget that these companies are losing money even on the paying customers. There doesn’t seem to be any path to profitability for these companies. So, no wonder everyone is saying it’s a bubble.
“We are 20 years away from Fusion Reactors”
– Scientists 60 years ago.
I’m no scientist, but i’m pretty sure there’s a giant fusion reactor in the sky. I think it’s called The Sun or something like that.
Also known as a deadly laser
This annoyingly bright object in the sky is a giant fusion reaction, but not a fusion reactor
It’s a lil bit of both
“We are 20 years away from Fusion if we get X amount of money”
– Scientists right before recieving less than 1% of X amount of money.
There is no incentive to invest into Fusion technology, as it would make crude oil, coal, rare earths, other rate metals and minerals lose a lot of value. The graph you show is still very interesting and I never saw that before, so thank you for sharing.
More like, the AGI that those CEOs are saying will solve all the world’s problems as long as we keep giving them billions of dollars and more data centers.
Right? How can everyone not see it? Didn’t they hear Dario say everyone will be replaced in 6 months for the 20th time since 2022?
The sad thing is that when it bursts it won’t do it in a hilarious “billionaires all get shafted” way like it didn’t any of the previous times. It’s far more likely to take the form of the most powerful AIs suddenly only being accessible to the wealthy.
It will burst because billionaires decided to get out. They will know just before it happens and time their exit perfectly. Everyone else will suffer and then they will buy right back at a massive discount. They have all the information, the fastest movement, and control of the levers. I refuse to play this unwinnable game.
